A weather bureau has stated that there will be no more tropical cyclone this year (2011).After the deadly storm “Sendong,” no other tropical cyclone is expected to affect the Philippines for the rest of the year, although rains may still prevail over most parts of the country on New Year’s Day, the weather agency said yesterday.
Metro Manila will experience partly cloudy skies with brief light rains. Servando said, “There is a very slim chance of tropical cyclone development in the remaining week of 2011”.
Meanwhile, a low-pressure area spotted in Cotabato City and the tail-end of a cold front will continue to bring rains over portions of the Visayas and Mindanao. A total of 19 cyclones entered the country this year.
Another winter storm is expected to hit New Mexico tonight. It was pleasant this morning, and didn’t get colder than 34 degrees Fahrenheit in many areas of Las Cruces and Doña Ana County.
By midday, the temperature was already pushing 50 degrees, and by midmorning it almost seemed like you could see all the way to California.By this time tomorrow there’s a real good chance temperatures could be 20 degrees colder and snow on the ground.
Friday: A 70 percent chance of snow is likely, with accumulation of one to three inches possible..
Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 38. North-to-northeast wind between 6 and 9 mph. Mostly clear Christmas Eve, with a low around 21.
Christmas Day: Sunny, light wind from the North, with a high near 45. Clear Saturday night, with a low around 22.
Tropical hurricane Twenty-seven is forecast to hit the Philippines as a typhoon at about 18:00 GMT on 16 December. The data was announced by the US Navy and Air Force Joint Typhoon Warning Center suggest that the point of landfall will benear10.4 N,125.6 E.
Twenty-seven is expected to bring 1-minute maximum sustained winds to the region of around120 km/h (74 mph).Wind gusts in the area maybe considerably higher.
According to the Saffir-Simpson damage scale the potential property damage and flooding from a storm of Twenty-seven’s strength (category 1) at landfall includes:
There is also the potential for flooding further inland due to heavy rain.
The Colorado State University has released its annual hurricane season forecast on 7th December predicting up to 15 named storms will form during the 2012 hurricane season. University forecasters have released the annual report for the last three decades.
According to the report, there is a 45 percent possibility for an above-average hurricane season in 2012. In general, that means 12 to 15 named storms will form between June 1 to November 30.
Forecasters expect seven to nine of those named storms to become hurricanes, with three to four of them categorized as major hurricanes. Any storm category 3 and above is considered a major hurricane. The major factor that helps university forecasters create their annual report is Atlantic Thermohaline Circulation (THC).
Forecasters said, “When THC is stronger than normal, the tropical Atlantic [is] usually more conducive for hurricane formation and intensification”. The university will provide updates for the 2012 hurricane forecast on April 4, June 1 and Aug. 3.
The 2011 Atlantic basin hurricane season ended on Nov. 30 as forecasters kept an eye on one last potential system out in the Atlantic. The system had a less chance of developing and forecasters announced Wednesday afternoon that the last tropical view of the season had been released.
Nineteen tropical storms formed this year – the third highest total since record keeping began in 1851. The 2011 season coupled with the years 1887, 1995 and 2010. The 2011 season made history as the first year ever that none of the first eight tropical storms reached hurricane status.
The long-term seasonal average, 1944-2010, is 11 named storms, six hurricanes and two major hurricanes, Category 3, 4 or 5. Six hurricanes and three major hurricanes formed in 2011.
The last major hurricane to hit the U.S. coast was Wilma, which made landfall very near Cape Romano, Fla., about 20 miles west of Everglades City, at 6:30 a.m. Oct. 24, 2005. Maximum sustained winds were estimated to be 125 mph - a strong Category 3.
Irene was the most destructive and deadly of all 2011 storms. Fifty-five deaths in the United States and Caribbean were attributed to Irene, as was most of the season’s $10 billion in damages. Irene was the first hurricane to make landfall on the coast of New Jersey in 108 years.
